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  NOAA 3 Day Space Weather Forecast
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The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Sep 30-Oct 02 2023 is 4.00 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Sep 30-Oct 02 2023

             Sep 30       Oct 01       Oct 02
00-03UT       1.67         3.00         1.33     
03-06UT       2.33         2.33         2.00     
06-09UT       3.00         2.00         4.00     
09-12UT       2.33         2.00         4.00     
12-15UT       1.33         1.33         3.00     
15-18UT       1.00         1.00         2.33     
18-21UT       1.33         2.00         2.33     
21-00UT       2.33         2.67         3.33     

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected.  No
significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-16 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Sep 30-Oct 02 2023

              Sep 30  Oct 01  Oct 02
S1 or greater    1%      1%      1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Sep 30-Oct 02 2023

              Sep 30        Oct 01        Oct 02
R1-R2           30%           30%           30%
R3 or greater    1%            1%            1%

Rationale: There exists a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts over 30 Sep - 02 Oct.