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  NOAA 3 Day Space Weather Forecast
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The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 6 (NOAA Scale
G2).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Sep 28-Sep 30 2022 is 5 (NOAA Scale
G1).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Sep 28-Sep 30 2022

            Sep 28     Sep 29     Sep 30
00-03UT        4          3          2     
03-06UT        4          2          2     
06-09UT        3          2          2     
09-12UT        3          2          3     
12-15UT        3          2          3     
15-18UT        3          2          3     
18-21UT        3          2          4     
21-00UT        3          2          5 (G1)

Rationale: The next recurrent CH HSS (-) is expected to arrive on 30
Sep, with G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm levels likely.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-16 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Sep 28-Sep 30 2022

              Sep 28  Sep 29  Sep 30
S1 or greater   15%     15%     15%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Sep 28-Sep 30 2022

              Sep 28        Sep 29        Sep 30
R1-R2           25%           20%           15%
R3 or greater    5%            5%            1%

Rationale: Solar activity is expected to be low with a chance for
M-class flare (R1-R2, Minor-Moderate) activity through 30 Sep.