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  NOAA 3 Day Space Weather Forecast
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The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Dec 06-Dec 08 2023 is 3.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Dec 06-Dec 08 2023

             Dec 06       Dec 07       Dec 08
00-03UT       3.67         2.00         1.67     
03-06UT       3.00         2.33         1.33     
06-09UT       3.00         2.33         1.33     
09-12UT       2.33         2.00         1.33     
12-15UT       2.00         2.00         1.33     
15-18UT       2.00         2.00         1.33     
18-21UT       2.33         2.00         1.67     
21-00UT       3.00         2.00         1.67     

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected.  No
significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-16 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Dec 06-Dec 08 2023

              Dec 06  Dec 07  Dec 08
S1 or greater    5%      5%      5%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

Radio blackouts reaching the R1 levels were observed over the past 24
hours. The largest was at Dec 05 2023 0644 UTC.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Dec 06-Dec 08 2023

              Dec 06        Dec 07        Dec 08
R1-R2           40%           40%           40%
R3 or greater   10%           10%           10%

Rationale: A chance for R1-2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts due to
M-class flare activity will persist through 08 Dec.